im at he public library in nola-hope to posts new posts

lot's of energy in gulf next week

euro and gfs showing a possible tropicl storm in the gulf within ten days

This year looks like a busy season. I plan on doing updates al day long..

but more importantly use the latest technology to bring the hurricane enthusiasts different tidbits about tropical weather. People are always talking  global warming, etc and all that. It is just a matter of fact that as the USA population increases.and the instant media grows..weather-good or bad - makes a difference faster.
To make a point- the plague killed over 30 million less than 100 years  ago- but no one talks about that. It is forgotten. Now weather is the next menace- only because of more people -and more people moving to coastal areas.

major weather event wed nite in new england

over a million people are in the dark and cold already. 4 foot tides will move in on NY and Mass wed nite. 60 mph gusts.  long island will get hit hard.

even on cheap cell phones-internet can be reached

wsj/nyt online sites offering free access

gusts to over 100mph forecast for nyc.

hurricane might be stronger than forecast.

this will be declared a disaster in many states= you can go onlinr

one can go on line and apply for ebt early. for a family of 4 making under 30.000 -one can apply and beat the rush

convergence and divergence

the bottom 500 yards of the storm-you need warm moisture rushing in-it is turned into rain-condensation-releasing heat which rises and allows more inflow---then all that air has to go somewhere--so a high pressure-counter out flow is needed to provide the release(divergence)

hurricane hits gulf stream -and then runs into arctic front

that water is 2 degrees above normal. yesterday the NHC said that the storm would transform into a hybrid storm- now it may stay a hurricane longer-which is a warm core system- that the center is warmer than it's surrounding enviriment.
 Expect unexpected consequences with this storm.Best plan-batteries, radio, food, stay inside and enjoy what nature is going to throw at you.
track- a bit north than what is planned. the NHC always move in tiny increments. that hard left will happen-if i was on long island- i would expect that the worse damage would be there. those wind tunnels in manhattan is another concern. remember that all force is squared. a 100 mile gust is not twice of a 50 mile gust-but 4 times powerful.

a potential life changing storm will hit the NE coast

YOU MIGHT BE W/O FOOD/WATER/ALCOHOL/  FOR DAYS. GET AHEAD OF THE GAME.

FROM ME- THIS STORM  MAY SIT FOR A FEW HOURS AND CAUSE A LOT OF DAMAGE.

ALTHOUGH  THE CENTER SEEMS LEFT OF THE EAST COAST .. A HUGE HIGH PRESSURE SYSTYM WILL FORCE IT TO DO A HARD LEFT TURN. THIS IS NOT GOOD...THE DYNANMICS  SAY THIS IS NOT GOOD.

gfdl model-925 mb storm hits nyc!!!

7 days away-3 models predict this HUGE storm

wrapping up

loop    http://rammb.cira.colostate.edu/products/tc_realtime/loop.asp?product=4kmsrbdc&storm_identifier=AL182012&starting_image=2012AL18_4KMSRBDC_201210240015.jpg

108 hours out

https://www.fnmoc.navy.mil/wxmap_cgi/cgi-bin/wxmap_single.cgi?area=ngp_namer&dtg=2012102406&prod=thk&tau=108&set=All

major storm hits new england in 144 hours!!!

sandy's track by the NHC WILL CHANGE TODAY AS IT PHASES IN WITH THE SUPER COLD FRONT MARCHING ACROSS THE NATION. RECORD WARMTH IS IN FRONT OF RECORD COLD AIR AND NOW THROW IN SANDY- A VERY LARGE SYSTEM-IS THROWN INTO THE PICTURE. SANDY WILL PHASE IN WITH THE TROF-TURN NNW  AND WILL TURN INTO A  VERY POWERFUL N'OREASTER. LOOKS LIKE MAYBE IT WILL MOVE INTO LONG ISLAND IN 144 HOURS AND STALL A BIT. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS ALL ALONG THE NEW ENGLAND COAST AND POSSIBLE SNOW BEHIND IT. GET READY. THIS WILL CAUSE MAJOR POWER OUTAGES.

possible levee break-90 minutes to get out in tangipahoa

Tangipahoa Parish orders immediate evacuation after potential levee breachadd to reading list


A mandatory evacuation has been called for areas along the Tangipahoa River from Kentwood through Robert after it appeared a levee broke near Lake Tangipahoa.
www.wwl.com

isaac wobbling coast--moving-huge rain event-national media exagerating the story

isaac remains quite strong-barely on shore

a bit of dry air is decaying part of the western side- but the eastern side has lot's of convection and gusts over 80mph. no levee breaks. another line of hard rain breaking across the city..but no reports of tornadoes. some storms produce short term tornadoes-due to land friction-not seeing this yet.

massive feeder band ripped thru nola cbd

this is a cat 1 easily. a levee breach in plaqumines parish. i'm at a bustop on canal st in the cbd trying to get internet service from a phone. hate at&t. storm stalled... now trying to make a move. models were right on the stall prediction and the more westward movement