models get on board with t.w.

from miami nws comment from nws/mia AFD 352am 7/15....TUESDAY...TIME TO LOOK TO THE EAST!!! GLOBAL MODELS (GFS, ECMWF)HAVE BEEN PERSISTENT IN DEVELOPING A RATHER HEALTHY TROPICAL WAVEOVER THE WESTERN ATLANTIC JUST OFF AFRICA. PREVIOUS RUN OF BOTH, GFSAND ECMWF, DEVELOPED A CYCLONIC CIRCULATION WITH THIS SYSTEM BY THETIME IT REACHES THE SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS, THEN RECURVED IT NORTHWARDAROUND THE PERIPHERY OF THE ATLANTIC RIDGE. HOWEVER, LATEST RUNSOF THESE MODELS PUSH THE SYSTEM FURTHER WESTWARD AND BRING ITRATHER CLOSE TO SOUTH FLORIDA (TOO CLOSE FOR COMFORT) BEFORERECURVING. WHILE THIS IS STILL TOO FAR IN THE FUTURE AND THEMODELS ARE BOUND TO CHANGE MANY TIMES, IT IS NOT OUT OF THE REALMOF POSSIBILITIES AS WE ENTER THE ACTIVE PORTION OF THE ATLANTICHURRICANE SEASON, AND IT BEARS WATCHING