Thursday, September 8, 2011

models on nate change- a changing senerio between mex and gulf coast

Nate is meandering due to two weak steering currents ..it's caught between 2 mid level highs.intersting the ex Lee is part of the forecast problem. Lee is still a closed low.. but at one point in the future will turn open up into a wave and a trough will develop. Now, we have those 2 storms off the east coast that will exit in 4 days.The question- will Nate pick up on the trof-now forecast this morning to be stronger and deeeper by gfs-or will the high build in faster by those 2 departing storms forcing Nate more to the mexico coast. also, that killer higher over texas might build in again. the globals are mixed on this.
another point is that neal is not stacked and may reform more north. Whew!