interestingly the nws AFD's were realeased early from...around 2-30 pm

new orleans, mobile and houston.usually released around 330pm. this was pre recon mission. now a small hurricane -nate- might be found. it's realy a small thing..hinting into to the models of a mexico landfall. waiting to post until....4pm notes arrive..hmm...maria is forecast lower into the nw carribean... possibly creating a pathway for nate? have to use the deep tropical models on this. the fly in the oinment is that nate is deep in the bay of campeche. almost impossible to drag something out of there....nhc is busy-3 storms. late on the discussions. nate should be last.
RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT FINDS NATE STRONGER...


4:00 PM CDT Thu Sep 8

Location: 19.7°N 92.3°W

Max sustained: 70 mph

Moving: SSE at 2 mph

Min pressure: 995 mb



only guessing -1 minute left- might be to deep in the BOC to get picked up.kate , maria discussion out..4-02pm..will post later early friday morning if still around