those bay of campeche storms are almost always going to go west , sw or whatever. this one almost got picked up...but nate was way, way down there. now, if this was a storm traveling across the carribean.. and ended up in the BOC, then climatoligically-sp- it would have been picked up by a trof.
if nate had been 150 miles north.. then it might be heading for the n GOM.
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