a rapidly developing weather situation is happening in the gulf

a recon plane is out there in the GOM right now. a tropical storm watch might be out by 5pm. yes, the models are over the place. let me post a few things first.
the first is the reliable euro model at 72 hrs. then the 96hr shows the storm drifting around the n GOM. the 3rd shows that this still storm will confound everyone for a few days. once that recon gets a single location, then it will be less dicey. the funny thing is that the models are right: the steering currents are weak, the storm will be a weak cat 1-hence a wondering system that has to wait  until monday to get lifted out.