looks like a final shot-i'll post some info from around:ECMWF,GFS,CMC are showing different scenarios on timing and places for the supposed development...
hpc-GULF COAST...INTERESTINGLY...THE ONE PLACE WHERE THE ENSEMBLE GUIDANCE HAS BEENGAINING INCREASING SUPPORT AND SHOWING GOOD CONTINUITY OVER THEPAST FEW DAYS IS WITH A NORTHWARD MOVING LOW IN THE GULF OF MEXICOFROM THIS WEEKEND INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK. IF THIS SYSTEM BECAME ATROPICAL CYCLONE...IT WOULD BE A UNIQUE NOVEMBER EVENT BOTH INAREA OF FORMATION AND POTENTIAL TRACK. STAY TUNED.
Latest HPC discussion:THE LARGEST UNCERTAINTY INVOLVES POTENTIAL DEVELOPMENT OF A TROPICAL AND/ORHYBRID SURFACE LOW NEAR THE YUCATAN PENINSULA DAYS 6/7...WITH THECANADIAN ORIGINATING THE LOW FROM THE CARIBBEAN SEA...THE ECMWFFROM THE BAY OF CAMPECHE...AND THE GFS POSSIBLY FROM BOTH REGIONS.SPEED/PLACEMENT DIFFERENCES OF THE LOW ARE ALSO CONSIDERABLE BYDAY 7 AND ARE DUE IN PART TO SOLUTION DIFFERENCES WITH THEAMPLIFYING TROUGH OVER THE ROCKIES.
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